HIGHLIGHTS


  • Initial Thoughts on the Iranian Strikes on Israel
  • Weekly Market Preview: How Bad Was Last Week for the Rally
  • Special Reports and Editorial:
    The Most Important Long-Term Indicator for Markets
    What Does CPI Mean for Markets?

Initial Thoughts on the Iranian Strikes on Israel?

Geopolitical tensions rose even further over the weekend as Iran launched several hundred missiles and drones at Israel, reflecting the biggest increase in tensions in the Middle East in decades. The immediate impact on markets would be as we would expect given rising geopolitical risks: Higher oil prices, lower stocks, higher risk-off assets (e.g., Treasuries). In the short term, the weekend’s events can be filed under the “Things We Do Not Need Right Now” category, as a market that has had a quasi-perfect environment for nearly five months must now contend with several disappointments including a hot CPI that pushes back on the idea of declining inflation, reduced Fed rate cut expectations from June to September (which means higher rates for longer) and a dramatic escalation in geopolitical tensions.